Alexei Arestovich: Putin To Establish Negotiating Stance By Occupying Belarus

• 11.08.2017, 10:39

The Russian Federation ruler will be looking for a way out of the deaf diplomatic deadlock at the West-2017 exercises.

Russian troops seem to be surrounding Ukraine with carrying out their last maneuvers. The peak of this envelopment is mid-September. What will the Kremlin do in the future, why do they need it – is not known. But we can lay out some options, Ukrainian military expert Alexei Arestovich writes.

The first one is a full-scale assault against Ukraine. The probability of this is small, but still exists, because Putin is raving, sanctions have driven him into a dead end. He either has to admit his defeat, or just slam the door and establish strong negotiating stance. Like, let's us bargain with the West, when we have a part of Ukraine under occupation. Lift the sanctions, and we will free Ukraine.

The latest American sanctions have driven Putin into a dead end. The Russian presidential elections take place on March 18, and by March 1, US intelligence agencies will have published financial data on Putin's top executives and his entourage. All their criminal billion schemes may become known. Since the Congress adopted this decision, a countdown for Putin's regime has started.

He should either admit the defeat, or to do his utmost. And the fact that the Russian troops have been set in motion does not look like admitting the defeat. This is no fewer than a platform for creating strong negotiating positions for bidding, or the attempts to do something in military respect. For example, to occupy Belarus, attack Ukraine. Or, the one and the other.