Putin Is Rapidly Fizzling Out
- IGOR EIDMAN
- 18.09.2022, 8:39
The head of the Russian Federation made a fatal mistake.
The invasion of Ukraine could end in apocalyptic chaos for Russia. Heralds of this future Russian Apocalypse - Prigozhin and Kadyrov - are already jumping to meet it.
Any dictatorship is based on centralized violence. The decentralization of its apparatus of violence inevitably leads to a "war of everyone against everyone".
Putin made a fatal mistake by allowing his nobles to create, in fact, private armies. Ukrainians are grinding Russian federal power structures into bloody flour.
Politically, the Kremlin is also weakening. Putin himself is rapidly fizzling out, also morally (he was simply pathetic at the last SCO summit in Uzbekistan).
In this situation, new, rapidly growing, in fact, private armies (PMCs, the Kadyrovites, regional battalions, etc.) play an increasingly important role. Those people who control them become the most likely contenders for the redistribution of power in the country and separate regions.
If it goes on like this, we will receive military reports not from Donbas, but directly from Mother Moscow.
On January 1, 2025, there will be fighting in the central sector of the Moscow front, detachments of Kadyrov's abreks attack the Kremlin from the south, Prigozhin's army of convicts from the northeast, and Sobyanin's regional volunteer battalions from the southwest.
Continuing the defence of the Kremlin, Zolotov's troops of the National Guard of Russia give an ultimatum to the attackers demanding surrender. At the same time, a message will come from the city of Kazan that the Tatar volunteer regional battalions, formed to participate in the war against Ukraine, but long ago returned home with weapons in their hands, completely liberated the city from the detachments of the former FSB that held it.
Similar processes will occur in Bashkortostan, Dagestan, Yakutia, Tuva, Buryatia and other national republics, as well as in the Khabarovsk Territory and Primorye.
I'm exaggerating, of course, but it reflects the trend.
Igor Eidman, Facebook